Asheville (BRP), NC

Rain Developing

This week's weather is dominated by a trough in the Eastern U. S. A couple of surface low will round the southern periphery keeping our weather cool overall, very wet early, and maintaining the threat of a stray shower until next weekend.

The first surface low reaches Mississippi today and South Carolina Tuesday. From there it heads slowly up the East Coast. Skies became cloudy this morning, and rain arrives quickly tonight. Monday is not a day for outdoor activities--cloudy, foggy, chilly, rainy. Tuesday is less wet and milder. Showers linger into Wednesday with warmer temperatures. Expect 1"-2" of rain through the 3-day period with isolated higher amounts near the Blue Ridge.

Computer guidance today keeps the next low suppressed in the Gulf with a weak front arriving from the northwest late Friday. I'm wary of being overly optimistic but will go with the drier forecast trend... a stray shower possible Thursday afternoon and in the PM hours Friday, then a dry Saturday. Expect temperatures to remain slightly cooler than seasonal averages. Merlefest clothing selection should account for pleasant days, cool nights, and the potential for a stray, light showers Thursday and Friday.